By 2022, there will be more traffic on global networks than in the 32 years since the launch of the Internet. In four years, 60% of the world's population will be Internet users, more than 28 billion devices and connections will be online, and video will account for 82% of IP traffic.
The rise of the internet around the world
These are the predictions of the latest annual Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI), produced by Cisco. In the case of Spain, in 2022, 74% of the population will be Internet users, against 71% in 2017, there will be 344.1 million connected devices (7.4 per person), compared to 202 million in 2017 (4.4 per capita) and the video will represent 79% of IP traffic, compared to 67% in 2017.
According to Jonathan Davidson, senior vice president and general manager of service providers at Cisco, the size and complexity of the Internet continues to grow in an unimaginable way, adding that since 2005 traffic has multiplied by 56.
From 2017 to 2022, Cisco predicts that global IP traffic will multiply by more than three, reaching 396 exabytes per month in 2022 (122 exabytes in 2017), and in particular 4.4 exabytes per month in Spain; and that the time when Internet traffic is the highest will be six times more active than the average and will be multiplied by 3.4 in Spain.
In addition, it estimates that Internet users worldwide will represent 60% of the world's population, or 4.8 billion users. In the case of Spain, 74% of the population will be users (34 million in 2022 against 33 million in 2017). On the other hand, Cisco says that by 2022 there will be 28.5 billion connections and fixed and mobile character devices, 3.6 connections per person.
In terms of speed, global average fixed broadband speed is expected to almost double in the next five years; the average speed of WiFi connections will more than double and mobile speed more than three times. In Spain, the average bit rate will increase from 50.3 megabits per second (Mbps) to 115.2 Mbps; Wi-Fi connections will increase from 24.4 Mbps to 96 Mbps; and the average speed of the mobile broadband will be four times higher in 2022 to reach 67 Mbps.
Finally, video, games and multimedia will generate more than 85% of total traffic. Thus, while the videos will be multiplied by four assuming 82% of IP traffic, the games will be multiplied by nine, or 4% of the total, and virtual reality technology traffic will reach 4 exabytes per month, against 0.33 in 2017.